What is the expert prediction for Ilya Ivashka vs Felix Balshaw?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Ilya Ivashka vs Felix Balshaw. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Ilya Ivashka vs Felix Balshaw Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Wednesday, March 04, 2026)

Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Fujairah - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 4 March 2026, Wednesday


	Ilya Ivashka		Felix Balshaw

	1	2
			Watch
	1.91	1.8
	2.02	1.78
	1.95	1.76	Watch
	1.83	1.83
	1.94	1.75	Watch
	1.71	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.71)	1.83 ↓ (2.05)

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilya Ivashka
49.1%

Felix Balshaw
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilya Ivashka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilya Ivashka's form might have worsened.

Felix Balshaw has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Felix Balshaw's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Balshaw than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

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Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Balshaw (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ivashka is ranked ATP: 701. Balshaw is ranked ATP: 611.

Ivashka is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Balshaw's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ivashka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilya Ivashka
ATP Challenger
02.03.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
25.02.26	Ilya Ivashka - Manas Manoj Dhamne	Ivashka I. retired ✺
23.02.26	Federico Agustin Gomez - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Oliver Crawford - Ilya Ivashka	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Sanhui Shin - Ilya Ivashka	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 W?WLW
- Felix Balshaw
ATP Challenger
02.03.26	Felix Balshaw - Tsung-Hao Huang	2:0 ✺
16.02.26	Kimmer Coppejans - Felix Balshaw	2:0 ✺
15.02.26	Felix Balshaw - Henri Squire	2:0 ✺
10.02.26	Leandro Riedi - Felix Balshaw	2:1 ✺
09.02.26	Felix Balshaw - Maxime Janvier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 WLWLW

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