Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: BARCELONA (SPAIN), CLAY - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 17 April 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Ilya Ivashka		Nuno Borges

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.57	2.35
	1.58	2.38
	1.59	2.39
	1.65	2.37
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.52	2.53	Watch
	1.56	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.9)	2.4 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilya Ivashka
60.3%

Nuno Borges
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.6%

49.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilya Ivashka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilya Ivashka's performance.

Nuno Borges has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nuno Borges might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilya Ivashka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nuno Borges than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nuno Borges could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.1%	0%	37.9%

Ilya Ivashka - Nuno Borges Predictions

Users Predictions: 29 users predict this event. Ivashka will win (votes: 18 - 62.1%). Borges will win (votes: 11 - 37.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ivashka: 44.4% – 79.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Ivashka could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Ivashka will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilya Ivashka
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.23	Ilya Ivashka - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
11.04.23	Daniel Evans - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
09.04.23	Ilya Ivashka - Taro Daniel	2:1 ✺
08.04.23	Ilya Ivashka - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.23	Casper Ruud - Ilya Ivashka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWWL
- Nuno Borges
ATP Estoril
04.04.23	Nuno Borges - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
22.03.23	Emil Ruusuvuori - Nuno Borges	2:0 ✺
21.03.23	Nuno Borges - Borna Gojo	2:1 ✺
20.03.23	Nuno Borges - Steve Johnson	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.03.23	Alexander Shevchenko - Nuno Borges	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LLWWW

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