Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: MONTE CARLO (MONACO) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 8 April 2023, Saturday


	Ilya Ivashka		Hugo Gaston

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.3
	1.54	2.43
	1.61	2.34
	1.62	2.32
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.34	Watch
	1.6	2.24
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.9)	2.32 ↑ (1.82)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilya Ivashka
59.5%

Hugo Gaston
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilya Ivashka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilya Ivashka's performance.

Hugo Gaston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hugo Gaston might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (-11.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ilya Ivashka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hugo Gaston than the current prediction. (+11.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hugo Gaston could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Ilya Ivashka - Hugo Gaston Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ivashka will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Gaston will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaston: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Ivashka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ivashka will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilya Ivashka
ATP Miami
24.03.23	Casper Ruud - Ilya Ivashka	2:0 ✺
22.03.23	Ilya Ivashka - Daniel Altmaier	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.03.23	Matteo Berrettini - Ilya Ivashka	Canceled ✺
ATP Indian Wells
12.03.23	Daniil Medvedev - Ilya Ivashka	2:1 ✺
10.03.23	Ilya Ivashka - Botic Van De Zandschulp	Van De Zandschulp B. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LW?L?
- Hugo Gaston
ATP Marrakech
06.04.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
03.04.23	Hugo Gaston - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
19.03.23	Thiago Seyboth Wild - Hugo Gaston	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	Andrea Vavassori - Hugo Gaston	0:2 ✺
17.03.23	Riccardo Bonadio - Hugo Gaston	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LWLWW

Ilya Ivashka - Hugo Gaston: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide