Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BORDEAUX (FRANCE), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 15 May 2023, Monday


	Ilya Ivashka		Tomas Martin Etcheverry

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.9	1.36
	2.8	1.42
	2.97	1.42
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.88	1.38	Watch
	2.75	1.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.25)	1.4 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilya Ivashka
33%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry
67%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

61.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilya Ivashka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ilya Ivashka's form might have worsened.

Tomas Martin Etcheverry has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tomas Martin Etcheverry's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilya Ivashka than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ilya Ivashka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tomas Martin Etcheverry than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tomas Martin Etcheverry, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	0%	93.7%

Ilya Ivashka - Tomas Martin Etcheverry Predictions

Users Predictions: Tomas Martin Etcheverry will win (15 of 16 users predict this - 93.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.89% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ivashka is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Etcheverry is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ivashka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Etcheverry is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilya Ivashka
ATP Roma
10.05.23	Ilya Ivashka - Stanislas Wawrinka	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
26.04.23	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Ilya Ivashka	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
17.04.23	Ilya Ivashka - Nuno Borges	0:2 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.23	Ilya Ivashka - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
11.04.23	Daniel Evans - Ilya Ivashka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLLW
- Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Roma
12.05.23	Novak Djokovic - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:0 ✺
10.05.23	Luca Van Assche - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
04.05.23	Jurij Rodionov - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	2:1 ✺
03.05.23	Hamad Medjedovic - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	1:2 ✺
03.05.23	Jason Kubler - Tomas Martin Etcheverry	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLW?

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