Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Zlatibor (Serbia), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday


	Ilya Snitari		Andrey Chepelev

	1	2
	1.44	2.55
	1.4	2.65
	1.46	2.6
	1.41	2.71	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.42	2.69	Watch
	1.4	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.45)	2.66 ↑ (2.65)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilya Snitari
65.2%

Andrey Chepelev
34.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.7%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilya Snitari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Andrey Chepelev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilya Snitari than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrey Chepelev than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

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Preview

Snitari is ranked ATP: 569. Chepelev is ranked ATP: 678.

Recent matches Snitari is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Chepelev is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Chepelev could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Snitari will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Snitari won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilya Snitari
ATP Challenger
16.09.24	Hynek Barton - Ilya Snitari	2:1 ✺
15.09.24	Federico Bondioli - Ilya Snitari	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.09.24	Pietro Marino - Ilya Snitari	2:1 ✺
11.09.24	Gabriel Ghetu - Ilya Snitari	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.09.24	Saba Purtseladze - Ilya Snitari	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWL
- Andrey Chepelev
ITF Tournaments
16.09.24	Andrey Chepelev - Roberto Cid Subervi	2:1 ✺
13.09.24	Andrey Chepelev - Drazen Petrovic	Petrovic D. retired ✺
12.09.24	Andrey Chepelev - Iannis Miletich	2:0 ✺
05.09.24	Andrey Chepelev - Aleksa Pisaric	1:2 ✺
04.09.24	Andrey Chepelev - Sergej Zivkovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 W?WLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
21.08.22	Andrey Chepelev - Ilya Snitari	0:2

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