Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25+H Bacau, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 July 2025, Wednesday


	Ilya Snitari		Sebastian Gima

	1	2
			Watch
	1.78	1.9
			Watch
	1.57	2.31
	1.58	2.26	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.58	2.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.64)	2.2 ↑ (2.19)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ilya Snitari
57.6%

Sebastian Gima
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.2%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ilya Snitari has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Sebastian Gima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilya Snitari than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sebastian Gima than the current prediction. (-1%)

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Preview

Snitari is ranked ATP: 721. Gima is ranked ATP: 667.

Snitari has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Gima has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Snitari may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

We predict that Snitari will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Snitari won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Sebastian Gima - the odds 2.19 are the expected chance of winning is 42.82%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ilya Snitari
ITF Tournaments
20.07.25	Ilya Snitari - Radu David Turcanu	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Ilya Snitari - Jeremy Gschwendtner	2:0 ✺
18.07.25	Tymur Bieldiugin - Ilya Snitari	0:2 ✺
17.07.25	Vlad Cristian Breazu - Ilya Snitari	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Mihai Alexandru Coman - Ilya Snitari	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWW
- Sebastian Gima
ITF Tournaments
18.07.25	Sebastian Gima - Jeremy Gschwendtner	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Sebastian Gima - Lorenzo Ferri	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.25	Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
07.07.25	Sebastian Gima - Florent Bax	2:1 ✺
06.07.25	Denis Yevseyev - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
22.05.24	Sebastian Gima - Ilya Snitari	1:2
10.09.22	Ilya Snitari - Sebastian Gima	2:1
16.08.22	Ilya Snitari - Sebastian Gima	2:0

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