Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Iasi - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 7 July 2025, Monday


	Sebastian Gima		Florent Bax

	1	2
			Watch
	2.25	1.55
	2.3	1.52	Watch
	2.21	1.65
			Watch
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.23	1.61	Watch
	1.86	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.86)	1.63 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sebastian Gima
42.7%

Florent Bax
57.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Gima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Gima's form might have worsened.

Florent Bax has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Florent Bax's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Gima than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sebastian Gima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Florent Bax than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Florent Bax, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Sebastian Gima - Florent Bax Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gima will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Bax will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gima (votes: 1 - 100%).

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Preview

Gima is ranked ATP: 658. Bax is ranked ATP: 385.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Bax may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Sebastian Gima - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Florent Bax - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sebastian Gima
ATP Challenger
06.07.25	Denis Yevseyev - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
29.06.25	Sebastian Gima - Andrea Guerrieri	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.06.25	Alex Marti Pujolras - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
25.06.25	Sebastian Gima - Dominik Kellovsky	2:1 ✺
24.06.25	Mihai Alexandru Coman - Sebastian Gima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLLWW
- Florent Bax
ATP Challenger
06.07.25	Matei Cristian Onofrei - Florent Bax	0:2 ✺
01.07.25	Marco Trungelliti - Florent Bax	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.06.25	Florent Bax - Etienne Donnet	0:2 ✺
26.06.25	Florent Bax - Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka	2:1 ✺
24.06.25	Florent Bax - Thomas Deschamps	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
09.05.24	Florent Bax - Sebastian Gima	1:2
18.04.24	Sebastian Gima - Florent Bax	0:2
03.06.23	Sebastian Gima - Florent Bax	1:2

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