Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bari - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday


	Imanol Lopez Morillo		Adrian Oetzbach

	1	2
			Watch
	1.98	1.72
	1.99	1.73	Watch
	2.01	1.72	Watch
	2.04	1.72
	2.02	1.69	Watch
	1.99	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.84)	1.72 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Imanol Lopez Morillo
46.2%

Adrian Oetzbach
53.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7%

45.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Imanol Lopez Morillo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Adrian Oetzbach has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imanol Lopez Morillo than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Imanol Lopez Morillo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adrian Oetzbach than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adrian Oetzbach, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Imanol Lopez Morillo - Adrian Oetzbach Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Lopez Morillo will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Oetzbach will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lopez Morillo is ranked ATP: 667., and Oetzbach is ranked ATP: 550..

Lopez Morillo is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Oetzbach has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Lopez Morillo has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:0 (averaging 2:0 goals per game).

Last Results with these Odds

Imanol Lopez Morillo - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Adrian Oetzbach - the odds 1.84 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Imanol Lopez Morillo
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Duje Ajdukovic - Imanol Lopez Morillo	1:2 ✺
20.09.26	Filip Misolic - Imanol Lopez Morillo	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Tiago Pereira - Imanol Lopez Morillo	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Pedro Vives Marcos	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.08.26	Tristan McCormick - Imanol Lopez Morillo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLLL
- Adrian Oetzbach
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Riccardo Trione - Adrian Oetzbach	0:2 ✺
20.09.26	George Lazarov - Adrian Oetzbach	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Adrian Oetzbach - Pierluigi Basile	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.09.26	Adrian Oetzbach - Eero Vasa	2:0 ✺
05.09.26	Adrian Oetzbach - Bruno Fernandez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
01.05.26	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Adrian Oetzbach	2:0
30.08.25	Imanol Lopez Morillo - Adrian Oetzbach	2:0

Imanol Lopez Morillo - Adrian Oetzbach: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide