Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Luan, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 October 2026, Tuesday


	Isaac Becroft		Mert Alkaya

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.65
	2.04	1.68	Watch
	2.09	1.64	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↓ (2.5)	1.7 ↑ (1.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Isaac Becroft
45.9%

Mert Alkaya
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

62.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Isaac Becroft has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Isaac Becroft's performance.

Mert Alkaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mert Alkaya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Isaac Becroft than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Isaac Becroft that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mert Alkaya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Isaac Becroft - Mert Alkaya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Becroft is ranked ATP: 665., and Alkaya is ranked ATP: 317..

In recent outings, Becroft has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Alkaya has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Alkaya could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Isaac Becroft
ITF Tournaments
03.10.26	Nino Ehrenschneider - Isaac Becroft	2:1 ✺
01.10.26	Kai-I Wang - Isaac Becroft	0:2 ✺
30.09.26	Yua Taka - Isaac Becroft	0:2 ✺
30.09.26	Jake Dembo - Isaac Becroft	0:2 ✺
10.09.26	Nathan Anthony Barki - Isaac Becroft	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWWL
- Mert Alkaya
Davis Cup World Group I
20.09.26	Francisco Cerundolo - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.09.26	Max Basing - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
08.09.26	Mert Alkaya - Tiago Torres	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Khumoun Sultanov - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLLWL

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