Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Istanbul 3, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 10 September 2026, Thursday


	Max Basing		Mert Alkaya

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.57	2.33	Watch
	1.60	2.45
	1.56	2.27	Watch
	1.56	2.27	Watch
	1.55	2.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↓ (1.58)	2.31 ↑ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Max Basing
59.6%

Mert Alkaya
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Max Basing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Mert Alkaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Max Basing than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Max Basing that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mert Alkaya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Max Basing - Mert Alkaya Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Basing will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Basing is ranked ATP: 259. Alkaya is ranked ATP: 300.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Alkaya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Basing will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Mert Alkaya - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.8%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Max Basing
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Max Basing - Atakan Karahan	2:0 ✺
01.09.26	Max Basing - Joel Schwaerzler	1:2 ✺
27.08.26	Max Basing - Charles Broom	0:2 ✺
26.08.26	Max Basing - Alec Deckers	2:1 ✺
24.08.26	Max Basing - Christian Langmo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLWW
- Mert Alkaya
ATP Challenger
08.09.26	Mert Alkaya - Tiago Torres	2:1 ✺
14.08.26	Khumoun Sultanov - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Beibit Zhukayev - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Rawat Sidharth - Mert Alkaya	0:2 ✺
06.08.26	Kenta Miyoshi - Mert Alkaya	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWL

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