Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W40 PORTO 3 (PORTUGAL), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 19 July 2023, Wednesday


	Isabella Shinikova		Sakura Hosogi

	1	2
	1.6	2.15
	1.72	2
	1.64	2.17
	1.73	2
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.67	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.85)	2.09 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Isabella Shinikova
55.7%

Sakura Hosogi
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Isabella Shinikova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Isabella Shinikova's performance.

Sakura Hosogi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sakura Hosogi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Isabella Shinikova than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Isabella Shinikova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakura Hosogi than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sakura Hosogi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Shinikova is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Hosogi is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hosogi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Isabella Shinikova
ITF Tournaments
18.07.23	Anna Kubareva - Isabella Shinikova	1:2 ✺
12.07.23	Brenda Fruhvirtova - Isabella Shinikova	2:1 ✺
08.07.23	Arantxa Rus - Isabella Shinikova	2:1 ✺
07.07.23	Julia Avdeeva - Isabella Shinikova	0:2 ✺
06.07.23	Isabella Shinikova - Chiara Scholl	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLLWW
- Sakura Hosogi
ITF Tournaments
28.06.23	Sakura Hosogi - Xinyu Gao	0:2 ✺
19.06.23	Eva Guerrero Alvarez - Sakura Hosogi	2:0 ✺
16.06.23	Jessica Failla - Sakura Hosogi	2:1 ✺
15.06.23	Kateryna Volodko - Sakura Hosogi	Volodko K. retired ✺
14.06.23	Lucia Peyre - Sakura Hosogi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LLL?W

Isabella Shinikova - Sakura Hosogi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide