Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Segovia, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 21 July 2026, Tuesday


	Ivan Marrero Curbelo		Facundo Mena

	1	2
			Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.20	1.63
	2.27	1.56	Watch
	2.17	1.59
	2.20	1.60	Watch
	2.19	1.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↓ (2.28)	1.6 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ivan Marrero Curbelo
42%

Facundo Mena
58%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.7%

65.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ivan Marrero Curbelo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Facundo Mena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ivan Marrero Curbelo than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ivan Marrero Curbelo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Facundo Mena than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Facundo Mena could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Facundo Mena Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Marrero Curbelo will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Mena will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Marrero Curbelo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Marrero Curbelo is ranked ATP: 369. Mena is ranked ATP: 332.

Marrero Curbelo is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Mena's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Mena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mena could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Ivan Marrero Curbelo - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.31%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ivan Marrero Curbelo
ATP Challenger
20.07.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	2:1 ✺
19.07.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Enrique Collar	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.06.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Keshav Chopra	2:0 ✺
19.06.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Volodymyr Iakubenko	2:0 ✺
18.06.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Rafael Giotis	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WWWWW
- Facundo Mena
ATP Challenger
10.07.26	Facundo Mena - Lorenzo Claverie	0:2 ✺
09.07.26	Facundo Mena - Tristan McCormick	2:1 ✺
07.07.26	Facundo Mena - Alafia Ayeni	2:1 ✺
30.06.26	Facundo Mena - Valerio Aboian	0:2 ✺
09.06.26	Facundo Mena - Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWWL?

Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Facundo Mena: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide