Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Olbia - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday


	Ivan Marrero Curbelo		Niels Visker

	1	2
			Watch
	2.30	1.53
	2.38	1.50	Watch
	2.4	1.49	Watch
	2.45	1.54
	2.42	1.50	Watch
	2.40	1.50
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.39 ↑ (2.27)	1.51 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ivan Marrero Curbelo
38.7%

Niels Visker
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

59.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

56.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ivan Marrero Curbelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Niels Visker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ivan Marrero Curbelo than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ivan Marrero Curbelo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niels Visker than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Niels Visker, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Niels Visker Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Marrero Curbelo is ranked ATP: 370., and Visker is ranked ATP: 415..

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Visker could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Visker is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ivan Marrero Curbelo
ATP Challenger
11.10.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Andrea Colombo	2:0 ✺
05.10.26	Philip Henning - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Joshua Sheehy - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	1:2 ✺
27.09.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Luca Potenza	1:2 ✺
07.09.26	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Maks Kasnikowski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLWLL
- Niels Visker
ATP Challenger
11.10.26	Davide Vargiu - Niels Visker	0:2 ✺
04.10.26	Niels Visker - Marko Topo	0:2 ✺
30.09.26	Harold Mayot - Niels Visker	2:0 ✺
28.09.26	Niels Visker - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
27.09.26	Niels Visker - Tom Paris	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLWW

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