Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Mouilleron-Le-Captif - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 28 September 2026, Monday


	Niels Visker		Niels McDonald

	1	2
			Watch
	1.60	2.15
	1.63	2.14	Watch
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.59	2.2
	1.65	2.11	Watch
	1.63	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (2.07)	2.15 ↑ (1.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Niels Visker
57%

Niels McDonald
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

55.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Niels Visker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Niels Visker's performance.

Niels McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Niels McDonald might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niels Visker than the current prediction. (-17.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Niels Visker that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niels McDonald than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Niels McDonald could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Niels Visker - Niels McDonald Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Visker is ranked ATP: 414., and McDonald is ranked ATP: 489..

Both players have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

No recent head-to-head matches have been recorded between these two competitors.

Last Results with these Odds

Niels Visker - the odds 2.07 are the expected chance of winning is 44.5%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Niels Visker
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Niels Visker - Tom Paris	2:0 ✺
06.09.26	Daniel Siniakov - Niels Visker	2:0 ✺
03.09.26	Niels Visker - Pedro Vives Marcos	1:2 ✺
01.09.26	Genaro Alberto Olivieri - Niels Visker	1:2 ✺
31.08.26	Niels Visker - Szymon Kielan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLWW
- Niels McDonald
ATP Challenger
27.09.26	Zaccharie Cado - Niels McDonald	0:2 ✺
01.09.26	Niels McDonald - Enrico Dalla Valle	0:2 ✺
25.08.26	Cezar Cretu - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
14.08.26	Marvin Moeller - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Niels McDonald - Eduardo Ribeiro	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLW

Niels Visker - Niels McDonald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide