Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Manama, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 7 November 2025, Friday


	Ivan Marrero Curbelo		Sergey Fomin

	1	2
	2.62	1.47
	2.58	1.43	Watch
	2.68	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.63 ↑ (2.19)	1.44 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ivan Marrero Curbelo
35.4%

Sergey Fomin
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

57.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

59.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ivan Marrero Curbelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ivan Marrero Curbelo's form might have worsened.

Sergey Fomin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sergey Fomin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ivan Marrero Curbelo than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ivan Marrero Curbelo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergey Fomin than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sergey Fomin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Sergey Fomin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Marrero Curbelo is ranked ATP: 621. Fomin is ranked ATP: 460.

Marrero Curbelo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fomin is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Marrero Curbelo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fomin will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Fomin will win today's game, with odds of 1.45.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ivan Marrero Curbelo
ITF Tournaments
06.11.25	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Volodymyr Iakubenko	2:0 ✺
05.11.25	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Nikolai Barsukov	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.10.25	Dali Blanch - Ivan Marrero Curbelo	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.09.25	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Matthew Summers	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Phillip Jordan	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WWLWW
- Sergey Fomin
ITF Tournaments
06.11.25	Timofei Derepasko - Sergey Fomin	1:2 ✺
05.11.25	Vladislav Melnic - Sergey Fomin	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Sergey Fomin - Mikalai Haliak	2:0 ✺
31.10.25	Fajing Sun - Sergey Fomin	1:2 ✺
30.10.25	Sergey Fomin - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 WWWWW

Ivan Marrero Curbelo - Sergey Fomin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide