Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Ceuta, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday


	Izan Almazan Valiente		Yanis Ghazouani Durand

	1	2
	2	1.8
	1.96	1.72	Watch
	2	1.7
	1.98	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.2)	1.74 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Izan Almazan Valiente
46.6%

Yanis Ghazouani Durand
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.5%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Izan Almazan Valiente has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Yanis Ghazouani Durand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Izan Almazan Valiente than the current prediction. (-10.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Izan Almazan Valiente that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanis Ghazouani Durand than the current prediction. (+10.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Yanis Ghazouani Durand could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Izan Almazan Valiente - Yanis Ghazouani Durand Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Almazan Valiente is ranked ATP: 822. Ghazouani Durand is ranked ATP: 643.

Almazan Valiente is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Ghazouani Durand has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Almazan Valiente may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ghazouani Durand could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Izan Almazan Valiente
ITF Tournaments
15.04.26	Izan Almazan Valiente - Alan Wazny	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Izan Almazan Valiente - David Naharro	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.03.26	Alex Martinez - Izan Almazan Valiente	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.03.26	Izan Almazan Valiente - Miles Jones	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Izan Almazan Valiente - Rafael Izquierdo Luque	Izquierdo Luque R. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWLW?
- Yanis Ghazouani Durand
ITF Tournaments
16.04.26	Enzo Wallart - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	0:2 ✺
15.04.26	Boris Butulija - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	Butulija B. Retired ✺
14.04.26	Esteban Talavera Cortes - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Yanis Ghazouani Durand - Leonardo Rossi	1:2 ✺
27.03.26	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 W?WLL

Izan Almazan Valiente - Yanis Ghazouani Durand: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide