Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati (USA), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 August 2024, Thursday

Referee: Forcadell N. (Esp)


	Jack Draper		Stefanos Tsitsipas

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.33	1.61
	2.48	1.6
	2.39	1.61	Watch
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.38	1.59	Watch
	2.33	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↓ (2.48)	1.61 ↑ (1.45)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jack Draper
40.6%

Stefanos Tsitsipas
59.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

63.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

66.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Stefanos Tsitsipas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jack Draper that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefanos Tsitsipas than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefanos Tsitsipas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
23.8%	0%	76.2%

Jack Draper - Stefanos Tsitsipas Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Draper will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). Tsitsipas will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tsitsipas: 58% – 94.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Draper is ranked ATP: 28. Tsitsipas is ranked ATP: 11.

Two players are playing changeable.

Tsitsipas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Tsitsipas will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Draper won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jack Draper
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.24	Jack Draper - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
ATP Montreal
07.08.24	Jordan Thompson - Jack Draper	2:0 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
30.07.24	Jack Draper - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
28.07.24	Jack Draper - Kei Nishikori	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.24	Jack Draper - Cameron Norrie	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLWL
- Stefanos Tsitsipas
ATP Cincinnati
14.08.24	Jan-Lennard Struff - Stefanos Tsitsipas	1:2 ✺
ATP Montreal
08.08.24	Kei Nishikori - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
ATP Olympic Games
01.08.24	Novak Djokovic - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
31.07.24	Sebastian Baez - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
29.07.24	Daniel Evans - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Montreal
10.08.22	Jack Draper - Stefanos Tsitsipas	2:0

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