Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Indian Wells (USA), hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 March 2025, Wednesday


	Jack Draper		Taylor Harry Fritz

	1	2
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.67	2.15
	1.82	2	Watch
	1.86	2.04
	1.77	2.04	Watch
	1.8	2	Watch
	1.86	2.03	Watch
	1.82	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.83)	2.03 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jack Draper
53%

Taylor Harry Fritz
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

47.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Taylor Harry Fritz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Jack Draper - Taylor Harry Fritz Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Draper will win (votes: 20 - 47.6%). Fritz will win (votes: 22 - 52.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fritz: 37.3% – 67.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Draper is ranked ATP: 14. Fritz is ranked ATP: 4.

Draper is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fritz is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Draper won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:5 (average 1.5:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jack Draper
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.25	Jack Draper - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
08.03.25	Jack Draper - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
ATP Doha
22.02.25	Jack Draper - Andrey Rublev	1:2 ✺
21.02.25	Jiri Lehecka - Jack Draper	1:2 ✺
20.02.25	Matteo Berrettini - Jack Draper	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWLWW
- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.25	Alejandro Tabilo - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Matteo Gigante - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2 ✺
ATP Delray Beach
14.02.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	0:2 ✺
13.02.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Bu Yunchaokete	2:0 ✺
ATP Dallas
06.02.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Paris
30.10.24	Jack Draper - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:1
ATP Olympic Games
30.07.24	Jack Draper - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2
ATP Munich
19.04.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Jack Draper	2:1
ATP London
13.06.22	Taylor Harry Fritz - Jack Draper	0:2

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