Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures 2 - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 16 September 2025, Tuesday


	Jack Loge		John Sperle

	1	2
			Watch
	1.5	2.35
	1.5	2.43	Watch
	1.38	2.90	Watch
	1.51	2.46	Watch
	1.5	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.48 ↓ (1.86)	2.51 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jack Loge
62.9%

John Sperle
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.5%

50.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jack Loge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jack Loge's performance.

John Sperle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and John Sperle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Loge than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jack Loge that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for John Sperle than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that John Sperle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jack Loge - John Sperle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Loge is ranked ATP: 538. Sperle is ranked ATP: 733.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Loge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

John Sperle - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 50.13%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jack Loge
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	Jack Loge - Darius Florin Pop	2:0 ✺
08.09.25	Jack Loge - Imanol Lopez Morillo	1:2 ✺
07.09.25	Jack Loge - Isaac Nortey	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.09.25	Liam Gavrielides - Jack Loge	2:1 ✺
24.08.25	Jack Loge - Stijn Slump	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWLW
- John Sperle
ATP Challenger
15.09.25	John Sperle - Emilien Demanet	2:1 ✺
01.09.25	David Jorda Sanchis - John Sperle	2:0 ✺
31.08.25	John Sperle - Federico Iannaccone	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.08.25	John Sperle - Eric Vanshelboim	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Oscar Otte - John Sperle	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWL?

Jack Loge - John Sperle: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide