Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rennes (France), hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 14 September 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rennes (France) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Indoor Hard

Referee: Svjetlanovic S. (Bih)


	Jacob Fearnley		Harold Mayot

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.53	2.35
	1.64	2.13	Watch
	1.55	2.54
	1.57	2.48	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.58	2.31	Watch
	1.64	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↓ (1.77)	2.3 ↑ (1.96)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacob Fearnley
59.2%

Harold Mayot
40.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

52.5%

47.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jacob Fearnley's performance.

Harold Mayot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Harold Mayot might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jacob Fearnley that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harold Mayot than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Harold Mayot could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87.5%	0%	12.5%

Jacob Fearnley - Harold Mayot Predictions

Users Predictions: Jacob Fearnley will win (14 of 16 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.29% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fearnley is ranked ATP: 164. Mayot is ranked ATP: 125.

At the moment players are feeling good and ready to play.

Mayot could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Challenger
13.09.24	Adrian Mannarino - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
12.09.24	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
11.09.24	Benoit Paire - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.24	Jacob Fearnley - Paul Jubb	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.08.24	Jacob Fearnley - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW
- Harold Mayot
ATP Challenger
13.09.24	Harold Mayot - Michael Geerts	2:0 ✺
11.09.24	Harold Mayot - Arthur Bouquier	2:0 ✺
09.09.24	Harold Mayot - Maxime Janvier	2:0 ✺
27.08.24	Harold Mayot - Aziz Dougaz	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
21.08.24	Harold Mayot - Lucas Pouille	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WWW?L

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harold Mayot
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Yaroslav Demin - Harold Mayot	✺

Jacob Fearnley - Harold Mayot