Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rennes (France), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Date: 13 September 2024, Friday

Referee: Lambours R. (Fra)


	Adrian Mannarino		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2	1.72
	2.05	1.69	Watch
	2.12	1.78
	2.05	1.77	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.03	1.66	Watch
	2.05	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (2.04)	1.71 ↑ (1.71)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Adrian Mannarino
45.3%

Jacob Fearnley
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.5%

54.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Adrian Mannarino - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Mannarino will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Fearnley will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mannarino: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mannarino is ranked ATP: 46. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 164.

Recent matches Mannarino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fearnley is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Fearnley could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fearnley will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Fearnley to win the game is with odds 1.58.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Challenger
11.09.24	Adrian Mannarino - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:1 ✺
09.09.24	Adrian Mannarino - Mathias Bourgue	2:0 ✺
ATP US Open
29.08.24	David Goffin - Adrian Mannarino	3:1 ✺
27.08.24	Borna Coric - Adrian Mannarino	0:3 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.24	Aleksandar Vukic - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWLWL
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Challenger
12.09.24	Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg - Jacob Fearnley	1:2 ✺
11.09.24	Benoit Paire - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
19.08.24	Jacob Fearnley - Paul Jubb	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.08.24	Jacob Fearnley - Chak Lam Coleman Wong	2:0 ✺
10.08.24	Jacob Fearnley - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWLWW

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