Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 COLUMBUS, OH (USA), HARD (INDOOR) - FINAL

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Jacob Fearnley		Learner Tien

	1	2
	1.57	2.2
	1.6	2.2
	1.6	2.27
	1.61	2.28
	1.62	2.2
	1.61	2.18	Watch
	1.62	2.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.84)	2.21 ↑ (1.84)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacob Fearnley
57.9%

Learner Tien
42.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.5%

42.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacob Fearnley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jacob Fearnley's performance.

Learner Tien has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Learner Tien might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Learner Tien than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Jacob Fearnley - Learner Tien Predictions

Users Predictions: Jacob Fearnley will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

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Preview

Fearnley in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Tien is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Tien could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
ITF Tournaments
18.11.23	Jacob Fearnley - Shunsuke Mitsui	2:1 ✺
17.11.23	Radu Mihai Papoe - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
16.11.23	Evan Sharygin - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
15.11.23	Jacob Fearnley - Johannus Monday	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Jacob Fearnley - Anton Matusevich	Fearnley J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWW?
- Learner Tien
ITF Tournaments
18.11.23	Robert Cash - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
17.11.23	Adam Neff - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
16.11.23	Luc Fomba - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
14.11.23	Tyler Zink - Learner Tien	0:2 ✺
11.11.23	Siem Woldeab - Learner Tien	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WWWWL

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