Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zadar (Croatia) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 16 March 2025, Sunday


	Jacopo Berrettini		Lilian Marmousez

	1	2
			Watch
	1.98	1.72	Watch
	2.15	1.6	Watch
	2.24	1.61	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.16	1.65	Watch
	2.15	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.88)	1.62 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacopo Berrettini
42.6%

Lilian Marmousez
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

50.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.5%

52.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacopo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jacopo Berrettini's form might have worsened.

Lilian Marmousez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lilian Marmousez's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacopo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Jacopo Berrettini - Lilian Marmousez Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Berrettini will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Marmousez will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Berrettini is ranked ATP: 310. Marmousez is ranked ATP: 407.

Berrettini is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Marmousez is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Berrettini could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacopo Berrettini
ATP Challenger
24.02.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Kasidit Samrej	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Kriish Tyagi	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Hiroki Moriya	0:2 ✺
10.02.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Eric Vanshelboim	0:2 ✺
05.02.25	Rio Noguchi - Jacopo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LWLLL
- Lilian Marmousez
ATP Challenger
03.03.25	Philip Henning - Lilian Marmousez	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Antoine Vincent - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.02.25	Inaki Montes De La Torre - Lilian Marmousez	2:0 ✺
27.02.25	Justin Schlageter - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
25.02.25	Julio Cesar Porras - Lilian Marmousez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWLWW

Jacopo Berrettini - Lilian Marmousez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide