Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Monastir 9, hard - Final

Date: 9 November 2025, Sunday


	Jacopo Berrettini		Tiago Pereira

	1	2
			Watch
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.11	1.7
	1.99	1.71	Watch
	2.01	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (1.83)	1.71 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacopo Berrettini
45.8%

Tiago Pereira
54.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

51.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacopo Berrettini has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Tiago Pereira has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacopo Berrettini than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiago Pereira than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Jacopo Berrettini - Tiago Pereira Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Pereira (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pereira (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Berrettini is ranked ATP: 331. Pereira is ranked ATP: 280.

Recent performances by Berrettini have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pereira is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Pereira may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Jacopo Berrettini - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Tiago Pereira - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacopo Berrettini
ITF Tournaments
08.11.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Jacopo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
07.11.25	Buvaysar Gadamauri - Jacopo Berrettini	1:2 ✺
06.11.25	Maxence Beauge - Jacopo Berrettini	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Igor Kudriashov - Jacopo Berrettini	Kudriashov I. retired ✺
ATP Challenger
19.10.25	Jacopo Berrettini - Jannik Opitz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWW?L
- Tiago Pereira
ITF Tournaments
08.11.25	Tiago Pereira - Lorenzo Carboni	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Robin Bertrand - Tiago Pereira	1:2 ✺
06.11.25	Robert Strombachs - Tiago Pereira	0:2 ✺
05.11.25	Jan Kumstat - Tiago Pereira	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.10.25	Tiago Pereira - Pedro Vives Marcos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWL

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