Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Marino, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 28 July 2026, Tuesday


	Jacopo Vasami		Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.6	2.2
	1.7	2.24
	1.61	2.18	Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.2	Watch
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.7)	2.2 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacopo Vasami
57.6%

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

46%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.3%

41.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacopo Vasami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacopo Vasami than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Jacopo Vasami - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino Samudio Predictions

Users Predictions: Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vasami is ranked ATP: 362. Varillas is ranked ATP: 274.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Vasami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacopo Vasami
ATP Challenger
29.06.26	Daniel Rincon - Jacopo Vasami	Vasami J. Retired ✺
17.06.26	Jacopo Vasami - Buvaysar Gadamauri	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Ilia Simakin - Jacopo Vasami	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Jacopo Vasami	2:0 ✺
02.06.26	Cezar Cretu - Jacopo Vasami	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 ?LWLW
- Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio
ATP Challenger
27.07.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Francesco Forti	2:1 ✺
26.07.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Stefan Latinovic	2:0 ✺
20.07.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Alexander Donski	0:2 ✺
19.07.26	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Gabi Adrian Boitan	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Nicolas Mejia - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWL

Jacopo Vasami - Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide