Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 June 2026, Monday


	Daniel Rincon		Jacopo Vasami

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.62
	2.1	1.66
	2.27	1.68
	2.18	1.61	Watch
	2.2	1.65	Watch
	2.13	1.64	Watch
	2.18	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.57)	1.64 ↑ (1.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Rincon
43%

Jacopo Vasami
57%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.9%

64.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

64.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Rincon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Rincon's performance.

Jacopo Vasami has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jacopo Vasami might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Daniel Rincon than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Daniel Rincon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacopo Vasami than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jacopo Vasami could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Daniel Rincon - Jacopo Vasami Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rincon is ranked ATP: 256. Vasami is ranked ATP: 335.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Vasami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Vasami will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Rincon
ATP Mallorca
20.06.26	Jamie Mackenzie - Daniel Rincon	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
19.06.26	Daniel Rincon - Luca Van Assche	0:2 ✺
18.06.26	Daniel Rincon - Buvaysar Gadamauri	2:1 ✺
17.06.26	Daniel Rincon - Stefano Napolitano	Napolitano S. Retired ✺
16.06.26	Pedro Martinez Portero - Daniel Rincon	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 ?LW?W
- Jacopo Vasami
ATP Challenger
17.06.26	Jacopo Vasami - Buvaysar Gadamauri	0:2 ✺
16.06.26	Ilia Simakin - Jacopo Vasami	0:2 ✺
03.06.26	Pablo Llamas Ruiz - Jacopo Vasami	2:0 ✺
02.06.26	Cezar Cretu - Jacopo Vasami	0:2 ✺
31.05.26	Jacopo Vasami - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LWLWL

Daniel Rincon - Jacopo Vasami: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide