Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Krakow, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday


	Jakub Filip		Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

	1	2
	2.25	1.55
	2.31	1.58
	2.23	1.52	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.24	1.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (3.23)	1.58 ↑ (1.34)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Filip
41.5%

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
58.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.3%

70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4%

71.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Filip has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jakub Filip's performance.

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mario Gonzalez Fernandez might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Filip than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jakub Filip that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mario Gonzalez Fernandez could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jakub Filip - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Filip is ranked ATP: 904. Gonzalez Fernandez is ranked ATP: 702.

Now, both players are in good form.

Filip may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gonzalez Fernandez is considered a favorite.

We predict that Gonzalez Fernandez will win today's game, with odds of 1.34.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Filip
ITF Tournaments
21.08.25	Kacper Knitter - Jakub Filip	0:2 ✺
20.08.25	Jakub Filip - Jannik Opitz	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Jakub Filip - Vladyslav Orlov	0:2 ✺
14.08.25	Bautista Vilicich - Jakub Filip	1:2 ✺
12.08.25	Gregor Hausberger - Jakub Filip	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WWLWW
- Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
ITF Tournaments
21.08.25	Rafael Tosetto - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
20.08.25	Kacper Szymkowiak - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
08.08.25	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Pavel Lagutin	0:2 ✺
07.08.25	Maxwell McKennon - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez	0:2 ✺
06.08.25	Mario Gonzalez Fernandez - Rafael Segado Esteve	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWLWW

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