Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 HERAKLION (GREECE), HARD - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 15 November 2022, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: HERAKLION (GREECE) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Jakub Mensik		Federico Arnaboldi

	1	2
	1.75	1.91
	1.85	1.85
	1.83	1.8
	1.89	1.85
	1.83	1.83
	1.74	1.95	Watch
	1.85	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.39)	1.86 ↑ (1.48)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
50.5%

Federico Arnaboldi
49.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

38.2%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jakub Mensik's performance.

Federico Arnaboldi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Federico Arnaboldi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jakub Mensik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Federico Arnaboldi than the current prediction. (+13.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Federico Arnaboldi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Mensik is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arnaboldi is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arnaboldi could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Challenger
07.11.22	Jakub Mensik - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
28.10.22	Antoine Hoang - Jakub Mensik	Mensik J. retired ✺
27.10.22	Florian Broska - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
25.10.22	Hazem Naw - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
29.09.22	Jakub Mensik - Andrew Paulson	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 L?WWL
- Federico Arnaboldi
ATP Challenger
26.10.22	Federico Arnaboldi - Alexander Ritschard	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
18.10.22	Federico Arnaboldi - Alexander Weis	0:2 ✺
11.10.22	Luca Potenza - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.10.22	Gianluca Mager - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
03.10.22	Franco Agamenone - Federico Arnaboldi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LLLLW

Jakub Mensik - Federico Arnaboldi

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

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