Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hertogenbosch (Netherlands), grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 June 2024, Tuesday


	Jakub Mensik		Gijs Brouwer

	1	2
	2.1	1.73	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2.09	1.69	Watch
	2.31	1.67
	2.3	1.66
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.26	1.65	Watch
	2.17	1.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (1.65)	1.68 ↓ (2.21)

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
43.3%

Gijs Brouwer
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jakub Mensik's form might have worsened.

Gijs Brouwer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gijs Brouwer's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jakub Mensik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gijs Brouwer than the current prediction. (-14.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gijs Brouwer, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.5%	0%	47.5%

Jakub Mensik - Gijs Brouwer Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Mensik will win (votes: 21 - 52.5%). Brouwer will win (votes: 19 - 47.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mensik: 37% – 68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Mensik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Hertogenbosch
10.06.24	Jakub Mensik - Roberto Carballes Baena	Canceled ✺
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.24	Jakub Mensik - Casper Ruud	Canceled ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.24	Jakub Mensik - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
29.04.24	Jakub Mensik - Felix Aliassime-Auger	Mensik J. retired ✺
27.04.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 ??L?W
- Gijs Brouwer
ATP Hertogenbosch
09.06.24	Christian Garin - Gijs Brouwer	1:2 ✺
08.06.24	Gijs Brouwer - Nicolas Moreno De Alboran	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.06.24	Zachary Svajda - Gijs Brouwer	2:1 ✺
03.06.24	Mark Lajal - Gijs Brouwer	1:2 ✺
02.06.24	Giles Hussey - Gijs Brouwer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWLWW

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