Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hertogenbosch (Netherlands), grass

Date: 10 June 2024, Monday


	Jakub Mensik		Roberto Carballes Baena

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.45
	1.5	2.48
	1.57	2.5
	1.56	2.49
	1.8	2
	1.55	2.47	Watch
	1.51	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.43)	2.42 ↓ (2.78)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
60.7%

Roberto Carballes Baena
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

34%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.2%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jakub Mensik's form might have worsened.

Roberto Carballes Baena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roberto Carballes Baena's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jakub Mensik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roberto Carballes Baena than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roberto Carballes Baena, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jakub Mensik - Roberto Carballes Baena Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carballes Baena Roberto - withdrawn.

Mensik is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Carballes Baena is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mensik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Mensik will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.24	Jakub Mensik - Casper Ruud	Canceled ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.24	Jakub Mensik - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
29.04.24	Jakub Mensik - Felix Aliassime-Auger	Mensik J. retired ✺
27.04.24	Grigor Dimitrov - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
25.04.24	Yannick Hanfmann - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 ?L?WW
- Roberto Carballes Baena
ATP Roland Garros
30.05.24	Novak Djokovic - Roberto Carballes Baena	3:0 ✺
28.05.24	Roberto Carballes Baena - Constant Lestienne	3:1 ✺
ATP Geneva
22.05.24	Sebastian Baez - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:0 ✺
19.05.24	Daniel Altmaier - Roberto Carballes Baena	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.05.24	Juncheng Shang - Roberto Carballes Baena	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWL

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