Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: NONTHABURI 3 (THAILAND) - QUALIFICATION, HARD - FINAL

Date: 16 January 2023, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: NONTHABURI 3 (THAILAND) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Jakub Mensik		Giovanni Fonio

	1	2
			Watch
	1.78	1.9
	1.82	1.85
	1.83	1.83
	1.83	1.9	Watch
	1.68	2.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↑ (1.58)	1.91 ↓ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
51.6%

Giovanni Fonio
48.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

58.2%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jakub Mensik's form might have worsened.

Giovanni Fonio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Giovanni Fonio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jakub Mensik, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giovanni Fonio than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Giovanni Fonio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Jakub Mensik - Giovanni Fonio Predictions

Users Predictions: Jakub Mensik will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mensik is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Fonio is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Fonio could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Fonio will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Challenger
15.01.23	Andrea Arnaboldi - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
08.01.23	Jakub Mensik - Lucas Pouille	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
04.12.22	Robert Strombachs - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
03.12.22	Lucas Krainer - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
02.12.22	Amr Asrawy - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLWWW
- Giovanni Fonio
ATP Challenger
15.01.23	Ji Sung Nam - Giovanni Fonio	1:2 ✺
09.01.23	Giovanni Fonio - Arthur Cazaux	0:2
08.01.23	Yuta Shimizu - Giovanni Fonio	1:2 ✺
07.01.23	Giovanni Fonio - Akira Santillan	2:1 ✺
03.01.23	Giovanni Fonio - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLWWL

Jakub Mensik - Giovanni Fonio

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Jakub Mensik - Giovanni Fonio Predictions

Preview

Form

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