Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: TUNIS (TUNISIA), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 16 May 2023, Tuesday


	Jakub Mensik		Laurent Lokoli

	1	2
			Watch
	1.87	1.83
	1.8	1.97
	1.95	1.88
	1.8	1.91
	1.91	1.82	Watch
	1.76	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (2.07)	1.89 ↑ (1.68)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
50.6%

Laurent Lokoli
49.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

55.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jakub Mensik's performance.

Laurent Lokoli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Laurent Lokoli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jakub Mensik that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laurent Lokoli than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Laurent Lokoli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
44.4%	0%	55.6%

Jakub Mensik - Laurent Lokoli Predictions

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Mensik will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). Lokoli will win (votes: 10 - 55.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lokoli: 32.6% – 78.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Mensik in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Lokoli is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mensik could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Mensik to win the game is with odds 1.68.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Challenger
14.05.23	Jakub Mensik - Dominik Koepfer	2:0 ✺
13.05.23	Jakub Mensik - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0 ✺
12.05.23	Jakub Mensik - Akira Santillan	2:1 ✺
10.05.23	Jakub Mensik - Vitaliy Sachko	2:0 ✺
08.05.23	Radu Albot - Jakub Mensik	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWWW
- Laurent Lokoli
ATP Challenger
04.05.23	Andy Murray - Laurent Lokoli	2:1 ✺
03.05.23	Laurent Lokoli - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:1 ✺
ATP Madrid
24.04.23	Laurent Lokoli - Jurij Rodionov	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.04.23	Laurent Lokoli - Alexey Vatutin	Canceled ✺
07.04.23	Franco Agamenone - Laurent Lokoli	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWL?L

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