Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 HERAKLION 5 (GREECE), HARD - FINAL

Date: 19 November 2023, Sunday


	Jakub Nicod		Arthur Gea

	1	2
	1.85	1.83	Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.86	1.9
	1.86	1.91
	1.91	1.8
	1.81	1.9	Watch
	1.95	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.96)	1.85 ↑ (1.76)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Nicod
49.7%

Arthur Gea
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

52.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Nicod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Arthur Gea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Nicod than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Gea than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Jakub Nicod - Arthur Gea Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Nicod will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Gea will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

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Preview

Nicod is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Gea in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Nicod could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Nicod
ITF Tournaments
18.11.23	Jakub Nicod - Alex Knaff	2:0 ✺
17.11.23	Yshai Oliel - Jakub Nicod	0:2 ✺
16.11.23	Kai Lemstra - Jakub Nicod	1:2 ✺
08.11.23	Jakub Nicod - Guy Den Ouden	1:2 ✺
22.10.23	Jakub Nicod - Alexandros Skorilas	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWLW
- Arthur Gea
ITF Tournaments
18.11.23	Younes Lalami Laaroussi - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
17.11.23	Arthur Gea - Sebastian Gima	2:0 ✺
16.11.23	Harry Wendelken - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
12.11.23	Cezar Cretu - Arthur Gea	1:2 ✺
11.11.23	Arthur Gea - Vladyslav Orlov	Orlov V. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWW?

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