Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Ostrava (Czech Republic) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 21 April 2024, Sunday

Referee: Tetera F. (Cze)


	Jakub Nicod		Luca Castagnola

	1	2
			Watch
	1.17	4.2
	1.17	4.4
	1.16	4.91
	1.17	4.91
	1.2	4.33	Watch
	1.17	4.69	Watch
	1.16	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.17 ↓ (1.35)	4.58 ↑ (2.92)

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Nicod
79.6%

Luca Castagnola
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.7%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Nicod has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jakub Nicod's performance.

Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Castagnola might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Nicod than the current prediction. (-9.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jakub Nicod that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Castagnola could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Nicod is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Castagnola is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Nicod could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Nicod is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Nicod
ATP Challenger
09.04.24	Jakub Nicod - Henri Squire	0:2 ✺
08.04.24	Mathys Erhard - Jakub Nicod	0:2 ✺
07.04.24	Mirza Basic - Jakub Nicod	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
31.03.24	Jakub Nicod - Sebastian Fanselow	2:0 ✺
30.03.24	Henri Squire - Jakub Nicod	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWWWW
- Luca Castagnola
ITF Tournaments
16.03.24	Luca Castagnola - Florian Broska	0:2 ✺
15.03.24	Luca Castagnola - Luca Potenza	2:0 ✺
14.03.24	Luca Castagnola - Peter Buldorini	2:0 ✺
13.03.24	Luca Castagnola - Jack Loge	2:0 ✺
09.03.24	Luca Castagnola - Luca Potenza	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWWL

Jakub Nicod - Luca Castagnola: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide