Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kobe (Japan) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday


	Jakub Paul		Yi Zhou

	1	2
			Watch
	1.57	2.2
	1.62	2.15	Watch
	1.64	2.21
	1.61	2.23	Watch
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.63	2.19	Watch
	1.62	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.49)	2.19 ↓ (2.45)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Paul
57.5%

Yi Zhou
42.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.2%

37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Paul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Yi Zhou has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jakub Paul than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jakub Paul, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yi Zhou than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Yi Zhou, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Jakub Paul - Yi Zhou Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Paul will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Zhou will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paul is ranked ATP: 378. Zhou is ranked ATP: 369.

Paul is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Zhou is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Paul could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Paul will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Paul
ATP Challenger
25.10.24	Benjamin Hassan - Jakub Paul	2:0 ✺
24.10.24	Hugo Grenier - Jakub Paul	0:2 ✺
22.10.24	Manuel Guinard - Jakub Paul	0:2 ✺
21.10.24	Adrian Andreev - Jakub Paul	1:2 ✺
20.10.24	Jakub Paul - Clement Tabur	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.3 LWWWW
- Yi Zhou
ATP Challenger
04.11.24	Yosuke Watanuki - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
03.11.24	Liam Broady - Yi Zhou	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Yuhei Kono - Yi Zhou	0:2 ✺
28.10.24	Yi Zhou - Antoine Escoffier	1:2 ✺
27.10.24	Yi Zhou - Kokoro Isomura	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LWWLW

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