Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: GWANGJU (SOUTH KOREA), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 4 May 2023, Thursday


	James Duckworth		Marc Polmans

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.7	2.1
	1.74	2.15
	1.67	2.1
	1.65	2.14	Watch
	1.64	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.67)	2.14 ↑ (2.09)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Duckworth
56.3%

Marc Polmans
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Duckworth has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Marc Polmans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marc Polmans than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

James Duckworth - Marc Polmans Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Duckworth will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Polmans will win (votes: 6 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Duckworth: 21.7% – 78.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Duckworth could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Duckworth won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Duckworth
ATP Challenger
01.05.23	James Duckworth - Omar Jasika	2:0 ✺
27.04.23	James Duckworth - Yasutaka Uchiyama	0:2 ✺
26.04.23	James Duckworth - Duck Hee Lee	2:1 ✺
23.04.23	James Duckworth - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
22.04.23	James Duckworth - Christian Langmo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLW
- Marc Polmans
ATP Challenger
01.05.23	Marc Polmans - Yuta Shimizu	2:1 ✺
26.04.23	Marc Polmans - Denis Kudla	1:2 ✺
25.04.23	Marc Polmans - Jea Moon Lee	2:0 ✺
15.04.23	Norbert Gombos - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
15.04.23	Filip Misolic - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
03.02.23	James Duckworth - Marc Polmans	2:1
18.10.22	James Duckworth - Marc Polmans	1:2
22.01.19	James Duckworth - Marc Polmans	1:1
30.10.18	Marc Polmans - James Duckworth	1:2
05.11.16	James Duckworth - Marc Polmans	2:0

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