Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Roehampton (United Kingdom), grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 11 February 2025, Tuesday


	James Story		Keegan Smith

	1	2
			Watch
	1.52	2.41
	1.54	2.39	Watch
	1.62	2.2
	1.55	2.32	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.83)	2.33 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Story
59.9%

Keegan Smith
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Story has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in James Story's performance.

Keegan Smith has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Keegan Smith might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Story than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with James Story that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Keegan Smith than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Keegan Smith could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

James Story - Keegan Smith Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Story is ranked ATP: 739. Smith is ranked ATP: 554.

Recent matches Story is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Smith is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Story could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Story will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Story
ITF Tournaments
31.01.25	James Story - George Loffhagen	0:2 ✺
30.01.25	Lukas Pokorny - James Story	0:2 ✺
28.01.25	Filip Peliwo - James Story	1:2 ✺
23.01.25	George Loffhagen - James Story	2:0 ✺
22.01.25	James Story - David Poljak	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWLW
- Keegan Smith
ITF Tournaments
28.01.25	Keegan Smith - George Loffhagen	1:2 ✺
21.01.25	Ben Jones - Keegan Smith	2:1 ✺
09.01.25	Keegan Smith - Theo Papamalamis	0:2 ✺
08.01.25	Keegan Smith - Braden Shick	2:1 ✺
14.12.24	Peter Bertran - Keegan Smith	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLLWL

James Story - Keegan Smith: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide