Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Heraklion 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 November 2025, Thursday


	James Story		Luca Preda

	1	2
			Watch
	1.52	2.34	Watch
	1.62	2.16	Watch
	1.58	2.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.55)	2.21 ↓ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Story
58.5%

Luca Preda
41.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

39.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Story has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Luca Preda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Story than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for James Story, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Preda than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Preda, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

James Story - Luca Preda Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2 Games - Story (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Story (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Story is ranked ATP: 463. Preda is ranked ATP: 762.

Story is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Preda has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Preda may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Story will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Story
ITF Tournaments
30.10.25	James Story - Marat Sharipov	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	James Story - Luke Hooper	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	James Story - Anton Matusevich	2:1 ✺
24.10.25	James Story - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
23.10.25	Clement Chidekh - James Story	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LWWWW
- Luca Preda
ITF Tournaments
18.11.25	Luca Preda - Amit Vales	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Luca Preda - Philip Henning	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.10.25	Luca Preda - Giles Hussey	1:2 ✺
13.10.25	Oliver Crawford - Luca Preda	0:2 ✺
06.10.25	Harry Wendelken - Luca Preda	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WLLWL

James Story - Luca Preda: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide