Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Sheffield, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 24 October 2025, Friday


	James Story		Jelle Sels

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.67	2.11
	1.65	2.08	Watch
	1.68	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.83)	2.09 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Story
55.7%

Jelle Sels
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Story has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in James Story's performance.

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jelle Sels might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Story than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

James Story - Jelle Sels Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Story is ranked ATP: 544. Sels is ranked ATP: 400.

Story is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sels has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Story may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Story won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

James Story - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 55% of matches with these odds.

Jelle Sels - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Story
ITF Tournaments
23.10.25	Clement Chidekh - James Story	0:2 ✺
22.10.25	Matthew Summers - James Story	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Samuele Pieri - James Story	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
06.10.25	Dimitris Sakellaridis - James Story	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Carlos Silvestre - James Story	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WWWLW
- Jelle Sels
ITF Tournaments
23.10.25	Jelle Sels - Patrick Brady	2:1 ✺
21.10.25	Jelle Sels - Finn Murgett	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.10.25	Alexander Blockx - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
06.10.25	Matteo Martineau - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Hugo Voljacques - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWLLW

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