Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25+H Plaisir, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 September 2025, Friday


	James Story		Mats Rosenkranz

	1	2
			Watch
	2.05	1.67
	2.12	1.69
	2.08	1.65	Watch
	2.06	1.68	Watch
	2.24	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.24)	1.66 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Story
44%

Mats Rosenkranz
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

58.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Story has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Mats Rosenkranz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Story than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mats Rosenkranz than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

James Story - Mats Rosenkranz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Story is ranked ATP: 503. Rosenkranz is ranked ATP: 352.

Story is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Rosenkranz has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rosenkranz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rosenkranz will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Story won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Story
ITF Tournaments
11.09.25	James Story - Yanis Ghazouani Durand	2:0 ✺
09.09.25	James Story - Ferdinand Livet Novkirichka	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	James Story - Maxence Beauge	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	James Story - Finn Bass	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	James Story - Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWLWW
- Mats Rosenkranz
ITF Tournaments
11.09.25	Adan Freire Da Silva - Mats Rosenkranz	0:2 ✺
09.09.25	Sven Corbinais - Mats Rosenkranz	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.09.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Viktor Durasovic	0:2 ✺
21.08.25	Moez Echargui - Mats Rosenkranz	2:0 ✺
20.08.25	Mats Rosenkranz - Christian Langmo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
27.03.25	James Story - Mats Rosenkranz	1:2

James Story - Mats Rosenkranz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide