Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25+H Bagneres-de-Bigorre, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 6 September 2025, Saturday


	James Story		Maxence Beauge

	1	2
			Watch
	1.3	3.1
			Watch
	1.32	3.28
	1.29	3.14	Watch
	1.32	3.14	Watch
	1.46	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.46)	3.04 ↑ (2.56)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Story
69.5%

Maxence Beauge
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

36.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Story has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in James Story's performance.

Maxence Beauge has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maxence Beauge might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James Story than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maxence Beauge than the current prediction. (+5%)

James Story - Maxence Beauge Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Story (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Story is ranked ATP: 497. Beauge is ranked ATP: 681.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Beauge may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Story is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Maxence Beauge - the odds 2.56 are the expected chance of winning is 36.32%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Story
ITF Tournaments
05.09.25	James Story - Finn Bass	2:0 ✺
05.09.25	James Story - Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine	2:0 ✺
03.09.25	James Story - Toby Martin	2:0 ✺
16.08.25	Paul Jubb - James Story	2:1 ✺
15.08.25	Charles Broom - James Story	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWLW
- Maxence Beauge
ITF Tournaments
05.09.25	Sergio Callejon Hernando - Maxence Beauge	0:2 ✺
05.09.25	Daniel De Jonge - Maxence Beauge	1:2 ✺
03.09.25	Alexey Dubinin - Maxence Beauge	0:2 ✺
30.08.25	Maxence Beauge - Mathieu Scaglia	0:2 ✺
28.08.25	Maxence Beauge - Isaac Lhomond	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWWLW

James Story - Maxence Beauge: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide