Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bonn, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 1 August 2026, Saturday


	Jamie Mackenzie		Max Dahlin

	1	2
			Watch
	1.85	1.85
	1.87	1.83
	1.97	1.91
	1.89	1.83	Watch
	1.95	1.88	Watch
	1.85	1.83	Watch
	1.87	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.31)	1.85 ↑ (1.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jamie Mackenzie
49.4%

Max Dahlin
50.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

65%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jamie Mackenzie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jamie Mackenzie's performance.

Max Dahlin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Max Dahlin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jamie Mackenzie than the current prediction. (-14.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jamie Mackenzie that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Dahlin than the current prediction. (+14.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Max Dahlin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Jamie Mackenzie - Max Dahlin Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Mackenzie will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Dahlin will win (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mackenzie: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mackenzie is ranked ATP: 931. Dahlin is ranked ATP: 1378.

Mackenzie is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Dahlin has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dahlin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jamie Mackenzie
ATP Challenger
31.07.26	Jamie Mackenzie - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Elmer Moller - Jamie Mackenzie	1:2 ✺
27.07.26	Buvaysar Gadamauri - Jamie Mackenzie	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.07.26	Viktor Durasovic - Jamie Mackenzie	2:1 ✺
22.07.26	Tomas Farjat - Jamie Mackenzie	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWWLW
- Max Dahlin
ATP Challenger
31.07.26	Max Dahlin - Daniel Elahi Galan	2:1 ✺
30.07.26	Tom Gentzsch - Max Dahlin	1:2 ✺
28.07.26	Max Dahlin - Matteo Martineau	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
14.07.26	Max Dahlin - Sebastian Baez	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
10.06.26	Patrik Munkhammar - Max Dahlin	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWL?

Jamie Mackenzie - Max Dahlin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide