Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hagen, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 August 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Germany	Laola1


	Elmer Moller		Jamie Mackenzie

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
	1.48	2.45
	1.50	2.50
	1.55	2.63
	1.47	2.49	Watch
	1.51	2.60
	1.48	2.47	Watch
	1.49	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.52)	2.5 ↑ (2.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Elmer Moller
62.4%

Jamie Mackenzie
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.5%

39.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Elmer Moller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Jamie Mackenzie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elmer Moller than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jamie Mackenzie than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Elmer Moller - Jamie Mackenzie Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Moller will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Mackenzie will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Moller is ranked ATP: 190. Mackenzie is ranked ATP: 931.

Moller has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Mackenzie is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Moller may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Moller will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Moller won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Elmer Moller
ATP Challenger
29.07.26	Elmer Moller - Jamie Mackenzie	1:2 ✺
28.07.26	Elmer Moller - Marko Topo	2:0 ✺
ATP Bastad
12.07.26	Elmer Moller - Thomas Faurel	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.07.26	Elmer Moller - Pierluigi Basile	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Elmer Moller - Norbert Gombos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLLW
- Jamie Mackenzie
ATP Challenger
02.08.26	Jan Choinski - Jamie Mackenzie	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Jamie Mackenzie - Max Dahlin	2:1 ✺
31.07.26	Jamie Mackenzie - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Elmer Moller - Jamie Mackenzie	1:2 ✺
27.07.26	Buvaysar Gadamauri - Jamie Mackenzie	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
29.07.26	Elmer Moller - Jamie Mackenzie	1:2

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