Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BRAUNSCHWEIG (GERMANY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 11 July 2023, Tuesday


	Jan Choinski		Alex Molcan

	1	2
	3.25	1.33	Watch
	2.95	1.35
	3.2	1.33
	3.32	1.35
	3	1.36	Watch
	3.58	1.26	Watch
	3.1	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (2.91)	1.33 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
29.3%

Alex Molcan
70.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.8%

69.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Alex Molcan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Molcan than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Jan Choinski - Alex Molcan Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Choinski will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Molcan will win (votes: 6 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Molcan: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches Choinski is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Molcan is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Choinski could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Molcan is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Wimbledon
06.07.23	Jan Choinski - Hubert Hurkacz	0:3 ✺
03.07.23	Jan Choinski - Dusan Lajovic	3:1 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
27.06.23	Liam Broady - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
25.06.23	Daniel Elahi Galan - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
24.06.23	Giles Hussey - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLLW
- Alex Molcan
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.23	Mikael Ymer - Alex Molcan	3:0 ✺
Exhibition Boodles Challenge Men
01.07.23	Alex Molcan - Petros Tsitsipas	2:0 ✺
30.06.23	Hubert Hurkacz - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
28.06.23	Alexei Popyrin - Alex Molcan	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.06.23	Gijs Brouwer - Alex Molcan	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LWLL?

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