Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: MEXICO CITY (MEXICO), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 March 2023, Monday


	Jan Choinski		Alexis Galarneau

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.48	2.6
	1.49	2.69
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.48	2.51	Watch
	1.46	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.82)	2.53 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
63%

Alexis Galarneau
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jan Choinski's performance.

Alexis Galarneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alexis Galarneau might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jan Choinski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alexis Galarneau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Jan Choinski - Alexis Galarneau Predictions

Users Predictions: Jan Choinski will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Galarneau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Choinski will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ITF Tournaments
24.03.23	Jan Choinski - Johan Alexander Rodriguez	1:2 ✺
23.03.23	Jan Choinski - Thijmen Loof	2:0 ✺
22.03.23	Jan Choinski - Juan Sebastian Osorio	2:0 ✺
16.03.23	Jan Choinski - Alex Barrena	1:2 ✺
14.03.23	Jan Choinski - Enrique Pena	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LWWLW
- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
09.03.23	Alexis Galarneau - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
07.03.23	Luca Lemaitre - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
02.03.23	Alexis Galarneau - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
28.02.23	Elmar Ejupovic - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
21.02.23	Alastair Gray - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWLWL

Jan Choinski - Alexis Galarneau: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide