Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PUERTO VALLARTA (MEXICO), HARD - 1/8-FINALS

Date: 9 March 2023, Thursday


	Alexis Galarneau		Yuta Shimizu

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.65	2.1
	1.67	2.15
	1.59	2.17
	1.71	2.16
	1.57	2.25
	1.57	2.29	Watch
	1.6	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (1.65)	2.2 ↑ (2.12)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexis Galarneau
57.6%

Yuta Shimizu
42.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1%

44.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexis Galarneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Yuta Shimizu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexis Galarneau than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yuta Shimizu than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Alexis Galarneau - Yuta Shimizu Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Galarneau will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). Shimizu will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shimizu: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Galarneau is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shimizu is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Shimizu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Galarneau will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexis Galarneau
ATP Challenger
07.03.23	Luca Lemaitre - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
02.03.23	Alexis Galarneau - Shintaro Mochizuki	0:2 ✺
28.02.23	Elmar Ejupovic - Alexis Galarneau	0:2 ✺
21.02.23	Alastair Gray - Alexis Galarneau	2:0 ✺
ATP Australian Open
11.01.23	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWLL
- Yuta Shimizu
ATP Challenger
07.03.23	Yuta Shimizu - Gabriel Diallo	2:1 ✺
27.02.23	Aziz Dougaz - Yuta Shimizu	2:1 ✺
26.02.23	Alex Rybakov - Yuta Shimizu	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
12.02.23	Alex Bolt - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
10.02.23	Yuta Shimizu - Maxime Chazal	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLWWW

Alexis Galarneau - Yuta Shimizu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide