Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SAO LEOPOLDO (BRAZIL), CLAY

Date: 16 November 2022, Wednesday


	Jan Choinski		Gonzalo Lama

	1	2
	1.3	3.4
	1.34	3
	1.3	3.35
	1.35	3.1
	1.37	3.13
	1.3	3.4
	1.32	3.14	Watch
	1.34	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.4)	3.2 ↑ (2.68)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
70.7%

Gonzalo Lama
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Gonzalo Lama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-6.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jan Choinski that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Lama than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gonzalo Lama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jan Choinski - Gonzalo Lama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Choinski is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Lama in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Choinski could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Choinski is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Choinski won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
08.11.22	Jan Choinski - Genaro Alberto Olivieri	0:2 ✺
07.11.22	Jan Choinski - Damian Wenger	2:0 ✺
06.11.22	Jan Choinski - Juan Martin Fumeaux	2:0 ✺
04.11.22	Jan Choinski - Marco Cecchinato	0:2 ✺
03.11.22	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWLW
- Gonzalo Lama
ITF Tournaments
13.11.22	Gonzalo Lama - Matias Franco Descotte	2:1 ✺
12.11.22	Gonzalo Lama - Valerio Aboian	2:1 ✺
11.11.22	Gonzalo Lama - Leonardo Aboian	2:0 ✺
10.11.22	Gonzalo Lama - Tomas Farjat	2:0 ✺
09.11.22	Gonzalo Lama - Francisco Tomas Geschwind	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.10.22	Jan Choinski - Gonzalo Lama	2:0

Jan Choinski - Gonzalo Lama: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide