Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 August 2025, Tuesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Jan Choinski		Terence Atmane

	1	2
	4.33	1.2
	4	1.22
	4.05	1.22
	4.57	1.21
	4.06	1.23	Watch
	4	1.22
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.17 ↑ (3.4)	1.22 ↓ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
22.6%

Terence Atmane
77.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

72.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3%

69.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jan Choinski's form might have worsened.

Terence Atmane has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Terence Atmane's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jan Choinski, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Terence Atmane than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Terence Atmane, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jan Choinski - Terence Atmane Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Choinski is ranked ATP: 150. Atmane is ranked ATP: 69.

Choinski has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atmane is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Choinski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Atmane is seen as the favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
05.08.25	Jan Choinski - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	0:2 ✺
02.08.25	Jan Choinski - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Jan Choinski - Dmitry Popko	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	Jan Choinski - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
20.07.25	Kimmer Coppejans - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLWWW
- Terence Atmane
ATP Cincinnati
16.08.25	Jannik Sinner - Terence Atmane	2:0 ✺
14.08.25	Terence Atmane - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	2:0 ✺
13.08.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Terence Atmane	1:2 ✺
11.08.25	Joao Fonseca - Terence Atmane	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Terence Atmane - Flavio Cobolli	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 42 LWWWW

Jan Choinski - Terence Atmane: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide