Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bonn, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 August 2025, Tuesday


	Jan Choinski		Geoffrey Blancaneaux

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.39	3.08
	1.44	2.51	Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.37	2.94	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.45)	2.9 ↑ (2.63)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
67.8%

Geoffrey Blancaneaux
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Geoffrey Blancaneaux has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Geoffrey Blancaneaux than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Jan Choinski - Geoffrey Blancaneaux Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Choinski is ranked ATP: 151. Blancaneaux is ranked ATP: 256.

Choinski is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Blancaneaux has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Choinski may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Choinski is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Choinski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
02.08.25	Jan Choinski - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
30.07.25	Jan Choinski - Dmitry Popko	2:1 ✺
29.07.25	Jan Choinski - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
20.07.25	Kimmer Coppejans - Jan Choinski	1:2 ✺
19.07.25	Jan Choinski - Guy Den Ouden	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWWW
- Geoffrey Blancaneaux
ATP Challenger
29.07.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Norbert Gombos	1:2 ✺
23.07.25	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Stefanos Sakellaridis	0:2 ✺
22.07.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	0:2 ✺
18.07.25	Alex Barrena - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:0 ✺
17.07.25	Federico Bondioli - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
08.08.24	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Jan Choinski	1:2

Jan Choinski - Geoffrey Blancaneaux: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide