Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Klosters, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 June 2026, Wednesday


	Jan Kumstat		Corentin Denolly

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.30
	1.47	2.48
	1.58	2.41
	1.52	2.34	Watch
	1.53	2.30
	1.53	2.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.73)	2.36 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.50

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Kumstat
60.7%

Corentin Denolly
39.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.6%

43.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Kumstat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jan Kumstat's performance.

Corentin Denolly has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Corentin Denolly might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Kumstat than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Corentin Denolly than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

Jan Kumstat - Corentin Denolly Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kumstat is ranked ATP: 660. Denolly is ranked ATP: 422.

Kumstat has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Denolly is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kumstat may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kumstat is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Kumstat
ITF Tournaments
13.06.26	Georgii Kravchenko - Jan Kumstat	2:1 ✺
12.06.26	Jan Kumstat - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
11.06.26	Jakub Filip - Jan Kumstat	0:2 ✺
09.06.26	Jan Kumstat - Matteo Covato	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
02.06.26	Vitaliy Sachko - Jan Kumstat	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 LWWWL
- Corentin Denolly
ITF Tournaments
10.06.26	Corentin Denolly - Radovan Michalik	2:0 ✺
24.05.26	Corentin Denolly - Felix Balshaw	0:2 ✺
23.05.26	Geoffrey Blancaneaux - Corentin Denolly	0:2 ✺
22.05.26	Jack Loge - Corentin Denolly	0:2 ✺
21.05.26	Mathys Picard - Corentin Denolly	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLWWW

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